Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.414941 1.751568 2.191943 2.830390 3.769855 5.170980 7.577826
2025-03-02 1.015728 1.391967 1.969749 2.999047 5.002078 9.408246 23.384600
2025-03-09 0.795741 1.156581 1.767200 3.014991 6.017443 15.483756 84.738534
2025-03-16 0.645426 0.972427 1.560606 2.878185 6.586306 22.648975 442.796484
2025-03-23 0.571827 0.893272 1.508979 3.032819 8.198506 43.736600 NaN
2025-03-30 0.506796 0.812409 1.425265 3.062265 9.546989 82.952543 NaN
2025-04-06 0.448531 0.731806 1.318215 2.972758 10.364921 148.057880 NaN
2025-04-13 0.403757 0.669033 1.233903 2.909431 11.324258 310.677503 NaN
2025-04-20 0.385498 0.655128 1.256759 3.201553 15.366810 4961.500529 NaN
2025-04-27 0.363676 0.629963 1.245883 3.378852 19.614348 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.337517 0.591616 1.192745 3.369313 22.399317 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.310389 0.547692 1.116290 3.228591 23.328268 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.293982 0.525886 1.096428 3.334395 29.157190 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.281741 0.511823 1.095217 3.534960 39.860942 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.265938 0.487639 1.060231 3.553038 47.947197 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.247380 0.455104 0.995113 3.380331 48.878512 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.239021 0.445454 0.996178 3.575180 70.305678 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.228090 0.428485 0.971756 3.612401 88.915320 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.215372 0.406016 0.926545 3.499349 96.121013 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.204417 0.386893 0.889150 3.419571 107.304374 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.201794 0.387814 0.916130 3.789002 225.142282 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.196724 0.382114 0.920390 4.014966 447.129021 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.188784 0.368442 0.895286 4.002776 641.830368 NaN NaN